Monetary policy and uncertainty

• Can the Business Outlook Survey Help Improve Estimates of the Canadian Output Gap?

  Staff Discussion Paper 2020-14 Calista Cheung, Luke Frymire, Lise Pichette

  We investigate whether questions in the Bank of Canada’s Business Outlook Survey can provide useful signals for the output gap.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Economic models, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Potential output JEL Code(s): E, E3
• August 27, 2020

  The imperative for public engagement

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Jackson Hole Symposium Jackson Hole, Wyoming

  Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the need for the Bank to be clear, relatable and understandable when it communicates with the public.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Credibility, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty
• August 26, 2020

  Closing remarks

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Carolyn A. Wilkins Bank of Canada Workshop: “Toward the 2021 Renewal of the Monetary Policy Framework” Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins concluded a day-long workshop on the renewal of the monetary policy framework with a summary of the discussions, and she outlined next steps on the path to the 2021 renewal.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework
• August 26, 2020

  Opening remarks

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Carolyn A. Wilkins Bank of Canada Workshop: “Toward the 2021 Renewal of the Monetary Policy Framework” Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses the challenges the Bank of Canada is facing as it seeks to renew its inflation-control target in 2021. Kicking off a day-long workshop on the renewal of the monetary policy framework, she explains how the Bank’s research on alternative frameworks is shaping up and invites discussion of how the COVID-19 crisis has changed what is known about alternative policy tools in action.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework
• May 25, 2020

  Dealing with extreme uncertainty

  Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz University of Alberta’s Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture Edmonton, Alberta

  In a lecture capping off his time as Governor, Stephen S. Poloz discusses how the Bank uses a risk management approach to deal with uncertainty about risks such as the ones associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial stability, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation
• May 25, 2020

  Monetary policy in unknowable times

  Lecture Stephen S. Poloz Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture University of Alberta Edmonton, Alberta

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the evolution of the way the Bank takes a risk-management approach in the conduct of monetary policy, and what this implies for the recovery from the pandemic.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Lectures Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial stability, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation
• May 20, 2020

  Decisive actions in difficult times

  Speech summary Timothy Lane CFA Society Winnipeg and the Manitoba Association for Business Economics Winnipeg, Manitoba

  Deputy Governor Timothy Lane talks about the Bank’s decisive actions in response to COVID-19, and how these will help Canadians now and in the future.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Credit and credit aggregates, Credit risk management, Domestic demand and components, Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial services, Financial stability, Fiscal policy, Housing, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, International financial markets, Labour markets, Lender of last resort, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector, Trade integration
• May 20, 2020

  Policies for the Great Global Shutdown and Beyond

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Timothy Lane CFA Society Winnipeg and Manitoba Association for Business Economics Winnipeg, Manitoba

  Deputy Governor Timothy Lane explains how the Bank is helping Canadian households and businesses weather the COVID-19 crisis, and how our actions today are laying a solid foundation for our future economic recovery.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Credit and credit aggregates, Credit risk management, Domestic demand and components, Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial services, Financial stability, Fiscal policy, Housing, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, International financial markets, Labour markets, Lender of last resort, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector, Trade integration
• May 4, 2020

  Bridge to Recovery: The Bank’s COVID-19 Pandemic Response

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Carolyn A. Wilkins C.D. Howe Institute Toronto, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses measures the Bank has taken to address the COVID-19 pandemic and set the stage for recovery.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial institutions, Financial markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments

• Interest Rate Uncertainty as a Policy Tool

  Staff Working Paper 2020-13 Fabio Ghironi, Galip Kemal Ozhan

  We study a novel policy tool—interest rate uncertainty—that can be used to discourage inefficient capital inflows and to adjust the composition of external account between shortterm securities and foreign direct investment (FDI).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): International financial markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, F, F2, F21, F3, F32, G, G1, G15