David Tessier - Latest
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Non-Linearities, Model Uncertainty, and Macro Stress Testing
A distinguishing feature of macro stress testing exercises is the use of macroeconomic models in scenario design and implementation. It is widely agreed that scenarios should be based on "rare but plausible" events that have either resulted in vulnerabilities in the past or could do so in the future. -
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Stress Testing the Corporate Loans Portfolio of the Canadian Banking Sector
Stress testing, at its most general level, is an investigation of the performance of an entity under abnormal operating conditions. -
Short-Run and Long-Run Causality between Monetary Policy Variables and Stock Prices
The authors examine simultaneously the causal links connecting monetary policy variables, real activity, and stock returns. -
The U.S. Stock Market and Fundamentals: A Historical Decomposition
The authors identify the fundamentals behind the dynamics of the U.S. stock market over the past 30 years. They specify a structural vector-error-correction model following the methodology of King, Plosser, Stock, and Watson (1991). -
Supply Shocks and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics: Canadian Evidence
In this paper, we study the impact of supply shocks on the Canadian real exchange rate. We specify a structural vector-error-correction model that links the real exchange rate to different fundamentals. -
Une analyse empirique du lien entre la productivité et le taux de change réel Canada-É-U
The relative productivity gap between Canada and the United States is a controversial subject matter. One argument especially contentious in this debate stems from the belief that the gradual depreciation of the Canadian dollar over the last 20 years has been one of the determinants of the productivity gap.