Productivity

• Gender Gaps in Time Use and Entrepreneurship

  Staff Working Paper 2024-43 Pedro Bento, Lin Shao, Faisal Sohail

  The prevalence of entrepreneurs, particularly low-productivity non-employers, declines as economies develop. This decline is more pronounced for women. Relative to men, women are more likely to be entrepreneurs in poor economies but less likely in rich economies.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Productivity JEL Code(s): J, J2, L, L2, O, O1
• September 20, 2024

  Artificial intelligence, the economy and central banking

  Remarks Tiff Macklem National Bureau of Economic Research, Economics of Artificial Intelligence Conference Toronto, Ontario

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how artificial intelligence could impact the economy, and outlines some of the implications for monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial stability, Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Productivity
• August 27, 2024

  How high productivity helps fight inflation

  Higher productivity helps keep prices down and wages up. It gives workers more money to spend and increases the value they get when they spend it. And it allows businesses to weather cost increases without having to raise prices. All together, these factors drive economic growth.

  Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Productivity
• June 24, 2024

  Workers, jobs, growth and inflation—Today and tomorrow

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce Winnipeg, Manitoba

  Governor Tiff Macklem explains why Canada’s labour market has had a fairly smooth adjustment to slowing economic growth. He also discusses Canada’s labour market advantages and the challenge of improving productivity growth and investment.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Labour markets, Monetary policy, Productivity
• June 24, 2024

  Making the labour market work for everyone

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce Winnipeg, Manitoba

  Governor Tiff Macklem talks about how the labour market has adjusted to higher interest rates and slower economic growth. He also discusses how a strong, inclusive labour market is key to growth in the long run.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Labour markets, Monetary policy, Productivity

• Total factor productivity growth projection for Canada: A sectoral approach

  Staff Analytical Note 2024-12 Dany Brouillette, Tessa Devakos, Raven Wheesk

  We propose a tool that decomposes TFP growth into sectoral contributions. The analysis incorporates three structural factors—digitalization, aging and climate change policies—and measures their contributions. Overall, we expect that aggregate TFP growth will slow down in the 2020s below both its historical average and the average from the 2010s.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Climate change, Digitalization, Labour markets, Productivity JEL Code(s): D, D2, D24, J, J1, J11, O, O3, O33, Q, Q5, Q54

• Potential output in Canada: 2024 assessment

  Staff Analytical Note 2024-11 Tessa Devakos, Christopher Hajzler, Stephanie Houle, Craig Johnston, Antoine Poulin-Moore, Ron Rautu, Temel Taskin

  We expect that potential output in Canada will grow by 2.3% and 2.5% in 2023 and 2024, respectively, and average slightly below 1.7% by 2027 as population growth moderates. Relative to the April 2023 assessment, growth is revised up in 2024, with a larger contribution from trend labour input due to higher-than-anticipated population growth. We revise down our estimates of growth over 2025–26.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Economic models, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E2, E3, E4, E5

• Assessing global potential output growth: April 2024

  Staff Analytical Note 2024-10 Amor Aniss Benmoussa, Raheeb Dastagir, Eshini Ekanayake, Justin-Damien Guénette, Helen Lao, Jenna Rolland-Mills, Aidan Spencer, Lin Xiang

  This note presents the annual update of Bank of Canada staff estimates for growth in global potential output. These estimates serve as key inputs to the analysis supporting the April 2024 Monetary Policy Report.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E1, E2, F, F0, O, O4
• March 26, 2024

  Time to break the glass: Fixing Canada’s productivity problem

  Remarks Carolyn Rogers Halifax Partnership Halifax, Nova Scotia

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers explains how higher productivity can protect the economy from future bouts of inflation and why fixing Canada's productivity problem should be a priority for all Canadians.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Potential output, Productivity
• March 26, 2024

  The productivity problem

  Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Halifax Partnership Halifax, Nova Scotia

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers talks about some of the reasons for Canada’s poor productivity track record, and what we can do to turn the tide.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Potential output, Productivity