Posts

• October 3, 2023

  Understanding the unusual: How firms set prices during periods of high inflation

  Remarks Nicolas Vincent Chamber of Commerce of Metropolitan Montreal Montréal, Quebec

  Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent discusses how firms set their prices and how pricing behaviour changed in our recent environment of high inflation.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Inflation and prices, Price stability
• October 3, 2023

  Speech by Nicolas Vincent, External Non-executive Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada

  On Tuesday, October 3, 2023, Nicolas Vincent, External Non-executive Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada will speak before The Chamber of Commerce of Metropolitan Montreal.

  Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
• October 3, 2023

  Le Devoir

  

  Nicolas Vincent, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada
  Interview with Le Devoir

  Content Type(s): Press, Media activities
• October 3, 2023

  Midi info on Radio-Canada

  

  Nicolas Vincent, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada
  Interview with Midi info on Radio-Canada

  Content Type(s): Press, Media activities
• September 30, 2023

  Quarterly Research Update – 2023 Q3

  This newsletter features the latest research publications by Bank of Canada economists including external publications and working papers published on the Bank of Canada’s website.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Research newsletters

• Predicting Changes in Canadian Housing Markets with Machine Learning

  Staff Discussion Paper 2023-21 Johan Brannlund, Helen Lao, Maureen MacIsaac, Jing Yang

  We apply two machine learning algorithms to forecast monthly growth of house prices and existing homes sales in Canada. Although the algorithms can sometimes outperform a linear model, the improvement in forecast accuracy is not always statistically significant.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial markets, Housing JEL Code(s): A, C, C4, C45, C5, C53, D, D2, R, R2, R3

• Anonymous Credentials: Secret-Free and Quantum-Safe

  Staff Working Paper 2023-50 Raza Ali Kazmi, Cyrus Minwalla

  An anonymous credential mechanism is a set of protocols that allows users to obtain credentials from an organization and demonstrate ownership of these credentials without compromising users’ privacy. In this work, we construct the first secret-free and quantum-safe credential mechanism.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Digital currencies and fintech, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): E, E4, E42, G, G2, G21, O, O3, O31

• Should Banks Be Worried About Dividend Restrictions?

  Staff Working Paper 2023-49 Josef Schroth

  A regulator would want to restrict dividends to force banks to rebuild capital during a crisis. But such a policy is not time-consistent. A time-consistent policy would let banks gradually rebuild capital and pay dividends even when their equity remains below pre-crisis levels.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, Credit risk management, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Lender of last resort JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E3, E32, E4, E44

• Tattle-tails: Gauging downside risks using option prices

  Staff Analytical Note 2023-13 Greg Adams, Maksym Tupis

  Options markets offer unique insights into the changing risks different assets face, which helps us better understand the broader risks to the Canadian economy. We show how option prices help reveal that investors did not anticipate large downside risks to either major Canadian banks or economic growth during the March 2023 financial sector system stress, a period when policy-makers and investors were unsure of what the future held for Canada’s economy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, E5, E52
• September 25, 2023

  CARR Meeting (September 25, 2023)

  Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group