Posts

• January 16, 2023

  Bank of Canada announces appointment of non-executive Deputy Governor

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Board of Directors of the Bank of Canada today announced the appointment of Nicolas Vincent as the Bank’s new external, non-executive Deputy Governor for a term of two years, effective March 13, 2023.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
• January 16, 2023

  Business Outlook Survey—Fourth Quarter of 2022

  Results from the fourth-quarter 2022 Business Outlook Survey and the Business Leaders’ Pulse surveys from October 2022 through January 2023 show that business sentiment has continued to weaken. As a result of rising interest rates, firms’ sales expectations and investment plans are softening. Capacity pressures have moderated from elevated levels. In this context, firms expect a slower pace of price increases.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
• January 16, 2023

  The Bank of Canada releases the fourth quarter issues of the Business Outlook Survey and the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations

  On Monday, January 16, 2023, the Bank of Canada will release the fourth quarter issue of the Business Outlook Survey and the latest results of the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations.

  Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
• January 16, 2023

  Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Fourth Quarter of 2022

  Results of the fourth-quarter survey show that consumers have reduced their purchases of a broad range of goods and services in response to rising inflation and increases in interest rates. High food prices are a particular source of frustration for households. Most consumers anticipate a mild or moderate recession in the next 12 months. And although labour markets continue to be strong, some early signals suggest consumers think this strength will fade. Meanwhile, short-term inflation expectations remain elevated this quarter, but consumers have varied opinions about where inflation will be in five years. More people than before the pandemic expect deflation.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations

• Gazing at r-star: A Hysteresis Perspective

  Staff Working Paper 2023-5 Paul Beaudry, Katya Kartashova, Césaire Meh

  Many explanations for the decline in real interest rates over the last 30 years point to the role that population aging or rising income inequality plays in increasing the long-run aggregate demand for assets. Notwithstanding the importance of such factors, the starting point of this paper is to show that the major change driving household asset demand over this period is instead an increased desire—for a given age and income level—to hold assets.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E2, E21, E3, E31, E4, E43, E5, E52, E58, E6, E62, G, G5, G51, H, H6
• January 11, 2023

  CARR announces development of a Term CORRA benchmark

  The announcement today confirms that efforts are underway to develop a 1- and 3-month Term CORRA benchmark with the objective of making such benchmarks available for use by the end of Q3-2023.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
• January 11, 2023

  CARR and TMX launch webcast series on the transition from CDOR

  CARR is pleased to announce the launch of a series of CDOR Transition Webcasts, developed in partnership with TMX.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group

• Summaries of Central Bank Policy Deliberations: A Canadian Context

  Staff Discussion Paper 2023-2 Monica Jain, Walter Muiruri, Jonathan Witmer, Sharon Kozicki, Jeremy Harrison

  This paper provides the context, rationale and key considerations that informed the Bank of Canada’s decision to publish a summary of monetary policy deliberations. It includes an analysis of how other central banks disclose minutes and summaries of their monetary policy deliberations.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Monetary policy communications JEL Code(s): D, D8, D83, E, E5, E58
• January 10, 2023

  Panel participation by Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada

  On Tuesday, January 10, 2023, Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada, will participate in a panel discussion at the Sveriges Riksbank’s International Symposium on Central Bank Independence.

  Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories

• Macroeconomic Disasters and Consumption Smoothing: International Evidence from Historical Data

  Staff Working Paper 2023-4 Lorenzo Pozzi, Barbara Sadaba

  Does consumption smoothing fundamentally decrease during macroeconomic disasters? This paper uses a large historical dataset (1870–2016) for 16 industrial economies to show that during macroeconomic disasters (e.g., wars, pandemics, depressions) aggregate consumption and income are significantly less decoupled than during normal times.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, E, E2, E21