Posts

• Financial Development Beyond the Formal Financial Market

  Staff Working Paper 2018-49 Lin Shao

  This paper studies the effects of financial development, taking into account both formal and informal financing. Using cross-country firm-level data, we document that informal financing is utilized more by rich countries than poor countries.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets, Firm dynamics, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E4, E44, O, O1, O17, O4, O47

• Government of Canada Fixed-Income Market Ecology

  Staff Discussion Paper 2018-10 Léanne Berger-Soucy, Corey Garriott, André Usche

  This discussion paper is the third in the Financial Markets Department’s series on the structure of Canadian financial markets. These papers are called “ecologies” because they study the interactions among market participants, infrastructures, regulations and the terms of the traded contract itself.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Debt management, Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial services JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G2, G20, H, H6, H63

• Have Liquidity and Trading Activity in the Canadian Provincial Bond Market Deteriorated?

  Staff Analytical Note 2018-30 Chen Fan, Sermin Gungor, Guillaume Nolin, Jun Yang

  In recent years, the liquidity in the secondary market for Canadian provincial bonds was a concern for many market participants. We find that a proxy for the bid-ask spread has deteriorated modestly since 2010. However, a proxy for price impact as well as measures of trade size, the number of trades and turnover have been stable or improved since 2010. This holds for bonds issued by different provinces and for bonds of different ages and sizes. Alberta bonds provide an interesting case study: After the fall in oil prices in 2014–15, the province increased its borrowing in the bond market and its credit rating was downgraded. Yet trading activity for Alberta bonds increased significantly. Overall, we interpret the evidence as a sign of resilience in the provincial bond market.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14

• Should Bank Capital Regulation Be Risk Sensitive?

  Staff Working Paper 2018-48 Toni Ahnert, James Chapman, Carolyn A. Wilkins

  We present a simple model to study the risk sensitivity of capital regulation. A banker funds investment with uninsured deposits and costly capital, where capital resolves a moral hazard problem in the banker’s choice of risk.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial system regulation and policies JEL Code(s): G, G2, G21, G28
• September 17, 2018

  CARR Meeting (September 17, 2018)

  Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group

• Challenges in Implementing Worst-Case Analysis

  Staff Working Paper 2018-47 Jon Danielsson, Lerby Ergun, Casper G. de Vries

  Worst-case analysis is used among financial regulators in the wake of the recent financial crisis to gauge the tail risk. We provide insight into worst-case analysis and provide guidance on how to estimate it. We derive the bias for the non-parametric heavy-tailed order statistics and contrast it with the semi-parametric extreme value theory (EVT) approach.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C0, C01, C1, C14, C5, C58
• September 13, 2018

  Bank of Canada Conference on Central Bank Communications

  Workshop held on September 13 and 14, 2018.

  Content Type(s): Conferences and workshops
• September 10, 2018

  Bank of Canada calls for nominations for the 2019 Fellowship Program awards

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada is inviting Canadian universities to nominate exceptional academics for its 2019 Fellowship and Governor’s awards.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Source(s): Fellowship Program
• September 8, 2018

  Investing in Monetary Policy Independence in a Small Open Economy

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz, Césaire Meh Monetary Policy Spillovers in a Financially Integrated World Copenhagen, Denmark

  Governor Poloz discusses policies that can help central banks keep the ability to pursue independent monetary policy in a financially integrated global economy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Fiscal policy, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy, Monetary policy implementation

• How Long Does It Take You to Pay? A Duration Study of Canadian Retail Transaction Payment Times

  Staff Working Paper 2018-46 Geneviève Vallée

  Using an exclusive data set of payment times for retail transactions made in Canada, I show that cash is the most time-efficient method of payment (MOP) when compared with payments by debit and credit cards. I model payment efficiency using Cox proportional hazard models, accounting for consumer choice of MOP.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Bank notes, Econometric and statistical methods, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): C, C2, C25, C3, C36, C4, C41, D, D2, D23, E, E4, E41, E42