Posts

• Markov‐Switching Three‐Pass Regression Filter

  Staff Working Paper 2017-13 Pierre Guérin, Danilo Leiva-Leon, Massimiliano Marcellino

  We introduce a new approach for the estimation of high-dimensional factor models with regime-switching factor loadings by extending the linear three-pass regression filter to settings where parameters can vary according to Markov processes.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, C23, C5, C53

• Accounting for Real Exchange Rates Using Micro‐Data

  Staff Working Paper 2017-12 Mario J. Crucini, Anthony Landry

  The classical dichotomy predicts that all of the time-series variance in the aggregate real exchange rate is accounted for by non-traded goods in the consumer price index (CPI) basket because traded goods obey the Law of One Price. In stark contrast, Engel (1999) claimed the opposite: that traded goods accounted for all of the variance.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, International financial markets, Trade integration JEL Code(s): F, F3
• April 18, 2017

  Embrace automation and manage its side effects, says Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins

  Media Relations Toronto, Ontario

  Automation, artificial intelligence and other innovations will benefit the Canadian economy by boosting productivity and living standards, but they could also have less desirable side effects on the labour market and income distribution that will have to be managed, Bank of Canada Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins said today.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
• April 18, 2017

  Blame It on the Machines?

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Toronto Region Board of Trade Toronto, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses how automation could affect productivity and the Bank’s monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): International topics, Labour markets, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy transmission, Potential output, Productivity
• April 17, 2017

  Weekly Financial Statistics - 17 April 2017

  Content Type(s): Publications, Historical: Weekly Financial Statistics
• April 13, 2017

  Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce

  Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Ottawa, Ontario

  Good morning, Mr. Chairman and committee members. Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins and I are pleased to be back before you today to discuss the Bank’s Monetary Policy Report (MPR), which we published yesterday. At the time of our last appearance in October, I spoke about the factors that caused us to downgrade our outlook for […]

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
• April 12, 2017

  Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance

  Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario

  Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman and committee members. Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins and I are happy to be before you today to discuss the Bank’s Monetary Policy Report (MPR), which we published earlier today. When we were last here in October, I spoke about the factors that caused us to downgrade our outlook for the Canadian […]

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
• April 12, 2017

  Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement

  Opening statement Carolyn A. Wilkins Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Housing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Potential output, Recent economic and financial developments

• April 2017 Annual Reassessment of Potential Output Growth in Canada

  Staff Analytical Note 2017-5 Andrew Agopsowicz, Bassirou Gueye, Natalia Kyui, Youngmin Park, Mohanad Salameh, Ben Tomlin

  This note summarizes the Bank of Canada’s annual reassessment of potential output growth, conducted for the April 2017 Monetary Policy Report. Potential output growth is projected to increase from 1.3 per cent in 2017 to 1.6 per cent by 2020.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Labour markets, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E0, E00, E2, E22, E23, E24, E3, E37, E6

• A Canada-US Comparison of Labour Market Conditions

  Staff Analytical Note 2017-4 Dany Brouillette, Katerina Gribbin, Justin-Damien Guénette, James Ketcheson, Olena Kostyshyna, Jonathan Lachaine, Colin Scarffe

  In this note, we provide a brief comparison of the recent developments in the labour markets in Canada and the United States. Our analysis indicates that slack remains in the Canadian labour market, while the US labour market is close to full employment.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Labour markets, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, J, J2, J21, J22, J23