November 16, 2017
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November 16, 2017
An Update on the Neutral Rate of Interest
The neutral rate serves as a benchmark for measuring monetary stimulus and provides a medium- to long-run anchor for the real policy rate. Global neutral rate estimates have been falling over the past few decades. Factors such as population aging, high corporate savings, and low trend productivity growth are likely to continue supporting a low global neutral rate. These global factors as well as domestic factors are exerting downward pres-sure on the Canadian real neutral rate, which is estimated to be between 0.5 to 1.5 per cent. This low neutral rate has important implications for monetary policy and financial stability. -
November 16, 2017
An Initial Assessment of Changes to the Bank of Canada’s Framework for Market Operations
The Bank of Canada made changes to several of the tools that make up its framework for operations and liquidity provision. These changes came about after a comprehensive re-view of the framework and are designed to help the Bank better achieve its objectives of reinforcing the target for the overnight rate and supporting the well-functioning of Cana-dian financial markets under normal market conditions. -
November 16, 2017
Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2017
Is shale oil production in the United States a factor in the 2014 oil price decline? Which methods of payment are commonly accepted by merchants in Canada? Bank researchers share their insights on these topics. They also provide an update on the neutral rate of interest as well as on changes to the Bank’s operational framework for market operations. -
November 15, 2017
Uncertainty can affect monetary policy actions, says Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins
Uncertainty is an important consideration for monetary policy decisions and, depending on the circumstances, it can prompt central banks to be more, or less, aggressive, Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins told the Money Marketeers of New York University in a speech today. “Central bankers have well-established methods to deal with uncertainty in the conduct […] -
November 15, 2017
Embracing Uncertainty in the Conduct of Monetary Policy
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins explains how uncertainty is factored into monetary policy decisions. -
November 15, 2017
Bank of Canada and Bank of Korea sign currency swap agreement
The Bank of Canada and the Bank of Korea today announced a standing bilateral liquidity swap arrangement, effective immediately. -
Communicating Uncertainty in Monetary Policy
While central banks cannot provide complete foresight with respect to their future policy actions, it is in the interests of both central banks and market participants that central banks be transparent about their reaction functions and how they may evolve in response to economic developments, shocks, and risks to their outlooks. -
Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty: Practice Versus Theory
For central banks, conducting policy in an environment of uncertainty is a daily fact of life. This uncertainty can take many forms, ranging from incomplete knowledge of the correct economic model and data to future economic and geopolitical events whose precise magnitudes and effects cannot be known with certainty. -
Understanding the Time Variation in Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Import Prices
In this paper, we analyze the presence of time variation in the pass-through from the nominal effective exchange rate to import prices for 24 advanced economies over the period 1995–2015. In line with earlier studies in the literature, we find substantial heterogeneity in the level of exchange rate pass-through across countries.
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