Domestic demand and components

• October 6, 2016

  Economic Trends and Monetary Policy

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières Trois-Rivières, Quebec

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins talks about the major trends of the Canadian economy and how they affect monetary policy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Domestic demand and components, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments

• The Case of Serial Disappointment

  Staff Analytical Note 2016-10 Justin-Damien Guénette, Nicholas Labelle, Martin Leduc, Lori Rennison

  Similar to those of other forecasters, the Bank of Canada’s forecasts of global GDP growth have shown persistent negative errors over the past five years. This is in contrast to the pre-crisis period, when errors were consistently positive as global GDP surprised to the upside. All major regions have contributed to the forecast errors observed since 2011, although the United States has been the most persistent source of notable errors.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Domestic demand and components, Economic models, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Potential output JEL Code(s): E, E2, E27, E6, E66, F, F0, F01

• Crude Oil Prices and Fixed-Asset Cash Spending in the Oil and Gas Industry: Findings from VAR Models

  Staff Analytical Note 2016-8 Farrukh Suvankulov

  This note investigates the relationship between crude oil prices and investment in the energy sector. We employ a set of vector autoregression (VAR) models (unconstrained VAR, vector error-correction and Bayesian VAR) to formalize the relationship between the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) benchmark and fixed-asset cash spending in the oil and gas extraction and support activities sector of the Canadian economy.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): E, E2, E22, E27, Q, Q4, Q43, Q47
• June 15, 2016

  The Canadian Economy: A Progress Report

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Yukon Chamber of Commerce Whitehorse, Yukon

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz talks about the outlook for Canada’s economy and the adjustment to lower resource prices.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Domestic demand and components, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments
• March 30, 2016

  Adjusting to the Fall in Commodity Prices: One Step at a Time

  Remarks Lynn Patterson Edmonton Chamber of Commerce Edmonton, Alberta

  Deputy Governor Lynn Patterson discusses how the Canadian economy is adjusting to the fall in commodity prices.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Domestic demand and components, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments

• What Is Behind the Weakness in Global Investment?

  Staff Discussion Paper 2016-5 Maxime Leboeuf, Robert Fay

  The recovery in private business investment globally remains extremely weak more than seven years after the financial crisis. This paper contributes to the ongoing policy debate on the factors behind this weakness by analyzing the role of growth prospects and uncertainty in explaining developments in non-residential private business investment in large advanced economies since the crisis.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Domestic demand and components, Economic models, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, C3, C33, D, D2, D24, D8, D80, D84, E, E2, E22, F, F0, F01, G, G3, G31
• January 7, 2016

  Life After Liftoff: Divergence and U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz The Mayor’s Breakfast Series Ottawa, Ontario

  Governor Poloz talks about the global commodity price shock and how it is leading to economic and financial divergence.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Exchange rates, Inflation targets, Interest rates, International financial markets, Monetary policy