April 30, 2015
Staff research, Publications
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2013 Methods-of-Payment Survey: Sample Calibration Analysis
Sample calibration is a procedure that utilizes sample and national-level demographic distribution information to weight survey participants. The objective of calibration is to weight the sample so that it is demographically representative of the target population. -
A Wake-Up-Call Theory of Contagion
We propose a novel theory of financial contagion. We study global coordination games of regime change in two regions with an initially uncertain correlation of regional fundamentals. -
Euro Area Government Bonds—Integration and Fragmentation During the Sovereign Debt Crisis
The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in spillovers) and flight-to-quality patterns, exploiting the heteroskedasticity of intraday changes in bond yields for identification. -
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April 15, 2015
Monetary Policy Report – April 2015
Real GDP in Canada is expected to grow by 1.9 per cent in 2015 and 2.5 per cent in 2016 and by 2.0 per cent in 2017. -
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April 6, 2015
Business Outlook Survey - Spring 2015
In the spring Business Outlook Survey, lower oil prices continue to dampen the overall sales outlook of firms, weighing on investment and hiring intentions. However, a majority of businesses are benefiting from the strong economic outlook in the United States and the boost in competitiveness from the weaker Canadian dollar.