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September 19, 2014
Bank of Canada Calls for Nominations for the 2015 Fellowship and Governor’s Awards
This program fosters excellence in research in Canada, and develops partnerships with experts outside of the Bank. -
September 16, 2014
Floating Loonie Essential to the Bank of Canada’s Inflation-Targeting Regime, Says Governor Stephen S. Poloz
The Bank of Canada's commitment to keep inflation low and stable requires that the value of the Canadian dollar be determined by markets, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today in Drummondville. The Bank of Canada fosters strong, sustainable economic growth by aiming to keep inflation at the 2 per cent midpoint of […] -
September 16, 2014
Float of the Loonie
Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the role of a floating exchange rate in the Canadian economy and in the Bank’s monetary policy framework. -
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What Does the Convenience Yield Curve Tell Us about the Crude Oil Market?
Using the prices of crude oil futures contracts, we construct the term structure of crude oil convenience yields out to one-year maturity. The crude oil convenience yield can be interpreted as the interest rate, denominated in barrels of oil, for borrowing a single barrel of oil, and it measures the value of storing crude oil over the borrowing period. -
Improving Public Equity Markets? No Pain, No Gain
This paper quantifies the effects of improving public equity markets on macroeconomic aggregates and welfare. I use an open-economy extension of Angeletos (2007), where entrepreneurs face idiosyncratic productivity risk in privately held firms. -
Balance Sheets of Financial Intermediaries: Do They Forecast Economic Activity?
This paper conducts a real-time, out-of-sample analysis of the forecasting power of various aggregate financial intermediaries’ balance sheets to a wide range of economic activity measures in the United States. -
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Real-Time Nowcasting of Nominal GDP Under Structural Breaks
This paper provides a framework for the early assessment of current U.S. nominal GDP growth, which has been considered a potential new monetary policy target. The nowcasts are computed using the exact amount of information that policy-makers have available at the time predictions are made. However, real-time information arrives at different frequencies and asynchronously, which poses challenges of mixed frequencies, missing data and ragged edges.
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