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Nowcasting the Global Economy
Staff Discussion Paper 2010-12 James RossiterForecasts of global economic activity and inflation are important inputs when conducting monetary policy in small open economies such as Canada. As part of the Bank of Canada's broad agenda to augment its short-term forecasting tools, the author constructs simple mixed-frequency forecasting equations for quarterly global output, imports, and inflation using the monthly global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI).Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Economic models, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E3, E37, F, F4, F47
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