Staff research

• Financial Stress, Monetary Policy, and Economic Activity

  Staff Working Paper 2010-12 Fuchun Li, Pierre St-Amant

  This paper examines empirically the impact of financial stress on the transmission of monetary policy shocks in Canada. The model used is a threshold vector autoregression in which a regime change occurs if financial stress conditions cross a critical threshold.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial stability, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): C, C0, C01, E, E5, E50, G, G0, G01

• Idiosyncratic Coskewness and Equity Return Anomalies

  Staff Working Paper 2010-11 Fousseni Chabi-Yo, Jun Yang

  In this paper, we show that in a model where investors have heterogeneous preferences, the expected return of risky assets depends on the idiosyncratic coskewness beta, which measures the co-movement of the individual stock variance and the market return.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G11, G12, G14, G3, G33

• Statistical Confidence Intervals for the Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey

  Staff Discussion Paper 2010-7 Daniel de Munnik

  While a number of central banks publish their own business conditions indicators that rely on non-random sampling, knowledge about their statistical accuracy has been limited.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Regional economic developments JEL Code(s): C, C4, C46, C8, C81

• The Fisher BCPI: The Bank of Canada’s New Commodity Price Index

  Staff Discussion Paper 2010-6 Ilan Kolet, Ryan Macdonald

  The prices of commodities produced in Canada have important implications for the performance of the Canadian economy and the conduct of monetary policy. The authors explain an important change to the methodology used to construct the Bank of Canada commodity price index (BCPI).

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C1, E, E3

• Relative Price Movements and Labour Productivity in Canada: A VAR Analysis

  Staff Discussion Paper 2010-5 Michael Dolega, David Dupuis, Lise Pichette

  In recent years, the Canadian economy has been affected by strong movements in relative prices brought about by the surging costs of energy and non-energy commodities, with significant implications for the terms of trade, the exchange rate, and the allocation of resources across Canadian sectors and regions.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Labour markets, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E2, E23, E24, O, O4, O47