October 26, 2009
Recent indicators point to the start of a global recovery from a deep, synchronous recession.
Monetary Policy Report – October 2009
Publications
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October 25, 2009
Senior Loan Officer Survey - Third-Quarter 2009
By a narrow margin, the survey results point to continued tightening in credit conditions during the third quarter, following a period of substantial credit tightening for business borrowers (Chart 1). -
October 9, 2009
Business Outlook Survey - Autumn 2009
Responses to the autumn survey suggest that the Canadian economy is recovering, as all indicators of business activity have increased since the summer survey. However, because firms continue to expect activity to pick up only gradually, they remain cautious regarding investment.
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September 11, 2009
Bank of Canada Liquidity Actions in Response to the Financial Market Turmoil
In response to the financial crisis of 2007-09, the Bank of Canada intervened repeatedly to stabilize the financial system and limit the repercussions of the crisis on the Canadian economy. This article reviews the extraordinary liquidity measures taken by the Bank during this period and the principles that guided the Bank's interventions. A preliminary assessment of the term liquidity facilities provided by the Bank suggests that they were an important source of liquidity support for some financial institutions and, on a broader basis, served to reduce uncertainty among market participants about the availability of liquidity, as well as helping to promote a return to well-functioning money markets. -
September 11, 2009
Understanding Corporate Bond Spreads Using Credit Default Swaps
Corporate bond spreads worldwide have widened markedly since the beginning of the credit crisis in 2007. This article examines default and liquidity risk–the main components of the corporate bond spread–for Canadian firms that issue bonds in the U.S. market, focusing in particular on their evolution during the credit crisis. They find that, during this period, the liquidity component increased more for speculative-grade bonds than it did for investment-grade bonds, consistent with a "flight-to-quality" phenomenon. An important implication of their results for policy-makers seeking to address problems in credit markets is that the liquidity risk in corporate spreads for investment and speculative bonds behaves differently than the default risk, especially during crisis episodes. -
September 11, 2009
Agency Conflicts in the Process of Securitization
Recent evidence finds a positive association between the prevalence of loans of inferior quality and the growth in securitized products. Some attribute this development to the lack of incentives for originators to screen and monitor the performance of securitized loans; others stress that certain factors, such as balance-sheet management, also contributed to the problem, making it difficult to pin down the reason for the proliferation of such loans during the period of high securitization growth. The author reviews the conflicts of interest between participants in the securitization process that contributed to the ongoing financial turmoil and highlights the most recent policy measures and potential solutions for ameliorating these agency issues. -
September 11, 2009
Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2009
Bank of Canada liquidity actions in response to the financial market turmoil; understanding corporate bond spreads using credit default swaps; review of the conflicts of interest between participants in the securitization process highlighting the most recent policy measures and potential solutions for ameliorating these agency issues.
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July 25, 2009
Senior Loan Officer Survey - Second-Quarter 2009
Survey respondents reported continued tightening in lending conditions (Chart 1). This tightening was evident in both the price and non-price1 aspects of business lending (Chart 2). Note that the balance of opinion indicates only the amount of agreement among respondents about the direction of the change in conditions; it does not provide any information on the magnitude of the change. -
July 23, 2009
Monetary Policy Report – July 2009
The global economy has suffered an intense, synchronous recession and considerable excess supply has opened up.
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July 13, 2009
Business Outlook Survey - Summer 2009
The results of the summer survey indicate that businesses foresee an improvement in the economic outlook. In particular, the balances of opinion on both future sales and employment have turned positive. Nevertheless, firms expect their activity to recover only gradually, and they continue to be cautious regarding investment.