Posts

• December 6, 2007

  Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce

  Opening statement David Dodge Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce

  In Canada, we were looking for weaker economic growth in the fourth quarter of this year and the first half of 2008, but some strengthening thereafter. As you can see from Table 2, we were expecting continued strong final domestic demand throughout the projection period, but considerably weaker net exports.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
• December 5, 2007

  Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance

  Opening statement Mark Carney House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance

  Over time, it has become clear that the best contribution monetary policy can make to the promotion of the economic and financial welfare of Canada is to keep inflation low, stable, and predictable.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
• December 4, 2007

  Bank of Canada lowers overnight rate target by 1/4 percentage point to 4 1/4 per cent

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada today announced that it is lowering its target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 4 1/4 per cent.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases

• Electronic Transactions as High-Frequency Indicators of Economic Activity

  Staff Working Paper 2007-58 John Galbraith, Greg Tkacz

  Since the advent of standard national accounts data over 60 years ago, economists have traditionally relied on monthly or quarterly data supplied by central statistical agencies for macroeconomic modelling and forecasting.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles JEL Code(s): E, E1, E17, E2, E27, E6, E66

• Uncertainty and the Specificity of Human Capital

  Staff Working Paper 2007-57 Martin Gervais, Igor Livshits, Césaire Meh

  This paper studies the choice between general and specific human capital. A trade-off arises because general human capital, while less productive, can easily be reallocated across firms.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models JEL Code(s): D, D9, D92, J, J2, J24, J4, J41, J6, J62

• Estimation and Inference by the Method of Projection Minimum Distance

  Staff Working Paper 2007-56 Òscar Jordà, Sharon Kozicki

  A covariance-stationary vector of variables has a Wold representation whose coefficients can be semi-parametrically estimated by local projections (Jordà, 2005). Substituting the Wold representations for variables in model expressions generates restrictions that can be used by the method of minimum distance to estimate model parameters.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, C5, C53, E, E4, E47

• The Impact of Emerging Asia on Commodity Prices

  Staff Working Paper 2007-55 Sylvie Morin, Calista Cheung

  Over the past 5 years, real energy and non-energy commodity prices have trended sharply higher. These relative price movements have had important implications for inflation and economic activity in both Canada and the rest of the world. China has accounted for the bulk of incremental demand for oil and many base metals over this period.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E3, F, F4, O, O1, O19, Q, Q1, Q11

• Tracking Canadian Trend Productivity: A Dynamic Factor Model with Markov Switching

  Staff Discussion Paper 2007-12 Michael Dolega

  The author attempts to track Canadian labour productivity over the past four decades using a multivariate dynamic factor model that, in addition to the labour productivity series, includes aggregate compensation and consumption information. Productivity is assumed to switch between two regimes (the high-growth state and the low-growth state) with different trend growth rates according to […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Productivity JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, O, O4, O5, O51
• November 20, 2007

  Managing Risks to Financial System Stability

  Remarks Pierre Duguay CFA Québec Québec, Québec

  The recent dislocations in credit markets have brought these issues into sharp focus. Among other things, the market turbulence has highlighted the critical role that confidence and liquidity play in financial markets.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
• November 15, 2007

  Debt Strategy Consultations 2008/09 Views Sought on Issues Relating to the Government's Domestic Debt Program for 2008/09 and Beyond

  A consultation document on issues relating to the design and operation of the government's domestic debt program for the fiscal year 2008/09 and beyond, prepared jointly by the Department of Finance and the Bank of Canada, is being made public today.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices