F31 - Foreign Exchange

• The Turning Black Tide: Energy Prices and the Canadian Dollar

  Staff Working Paper 2006-29 Ramzi Issa, Robert Lafrance, John Murray

  The authors revisit the relationship between energy prices and the Canadian dollar in the Amano and van Norden (1995) equation, which shows a negative relationship such that higher real energy prices lead to a depreciation of the Canadian dollar.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Exchange rates JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31

• Can Affine Term Structure Models Help Us Predict Exchange Rates?

  Staff Working Paper 2006-27 Antonio Diez de los Rios

  The author proposes an arbitrage-free model of the joint behaviour of interest and exchange rates whose exchange rate forecasts outperform those produced by a random-walk model, a vector autoregression on the forward premiums and the rate of depreciation, and the standard forward premium regression.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Exchange rates, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, F, F3, F31, G, G1, G12, G15

• A Structural Error-Correction Model of Best Prices and Depths in the Foreign Exchange Limit Order Market

  Staff Working Paper 2006-8 Ingrid Lo, Stephen Sapp

  Traders using the electronic limit order book in the foreign exchange market can watch the posted price and depth of the best quotes change over the day.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Exchange rates, Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C3, D, D8, F, F3, F31

• Structural Change in Covariance and Exchange Rate Pass-Through: The Case of Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2006-2 Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian

  The authors address empirically the implications of structural breaks in the variance-covariance matrix of inflation and import prices for changes in pass-through.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, E, E3, E31, F, F3, F31, F4, F40