Posts

• March 12, 2003

  Meeting Global Challenges: The Importance of Sound Economic Policies

  Remarks David Dodge Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce London, United Kingdom

  We are facing a time of great economic and political uncertainty. While economic activity is close to potential in Canada, most other countries are facing very weak demand and lacklustre economic prospects. And, of course, there is the overriding prospect of a war in Iraq.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
• March 4, 2003

  Bank of Canada raises overnight rate target by 1/4 percentage point to 3 per cent

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 3 per cent.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases

• Comparing Alternative Output-Gap Estimators: A Monte Carlo Approach

  Staff Working Paper 2003-8 Andrew Rennison

  The author evaluates the ability of a variety of output-gap estimators to accurately measure the output gap in a model economy. A small estimated model of the Canadian economy is used to generate artificial data.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Econometric and statistical methods, Potential output JEL Code(s): C, C1, C15, E, E3, E32

• Testing the Stability of the Canadian Phillips Curve Using Exact Methods

  Staff Working Paper 2003-7 Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian

  Postulating two different specifications for the Canadian Phillips curve (a purely backwardlooking model, and a partly backward-, partly forward-looking model), the authors test for structural breaks in the parameters of the equation. In each case, they account for the possibilities that: (i) breaks can be discrete, or continuous, and (ii) available data samples may be too small to justify using asymptotically valid structural-change tests.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C1, C15, C5, C52, E, E3, E31, E37

• Valuation of Canadian- vs. U.S.-Listed Equity: Is There a Discount?

  Staff Working Paper 2003-6 Michael R. King, Dan Segal

  The authors examine how the valuation multiples assigned to the equity of Canadian-listed firms compare with the equity of comparable firms listed in the United States. They find that Canadian-listed firms trade at a discount to U.S.-listed firms across a range of valuation measures.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Financial markets JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G15
• February 26, 2003

  Bank of Canada Announces First Research Fellowship Awards

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada today announced the first two fellowship awards for 2003 under its Fellowship Program launched late last year.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Source(s): Fellowship Program
• February 20, 2003

  Call for Input: Improving Financial System Data in Canada

  Canada's financial system consists of financial institutions, financial markets, and clearing and settlement systems. It is a key part of the infrastructure of our economy.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
• February 18, 2003

  Government of Canada Debt Programs - Follow up to Change in Debt Structure Announced in 2003 Budget

  As announced in the 2003 Budget, the Government will gradually reduce the fixed-rate portion of the debt from two-thirds to 60 per cent. The reduction will begin in the upcoming fiscal year and will be implemented in an orderly and transparent manner over the next five years to maintain a well-functioning Government of Canada securities market.

  Content Type(s): Press, Market notices

• Shift Contagion in Asset Markets

  Staff Working Paper 2003-5 Toni Gravelle, Maral Kichian, James Morley

  The authors develop a new methodology to investigate how crises cause the relationship between financial variables to change. Two possible sources of increased co-movement between markets during high-variance episodes are considered: larger common shocks operating through standard market linkages, and a structural change in the propagation of shocks between markets, called "shift contagion."

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, F, F4, F42, G, G1, G15

• Are Distorted Beliefs Too Good to be True?

  Staff Working Paper 2003-4 Miroslav Misina

  In a recent attempt to account for the equity-premium puzzle within a representative-agent model, Cecchetti, Lam, and Mark (2000) relax the assumption of rational expectations and in its place use the assumption of distorted beliefs. The author shows that the explanatory power of the distorted beliefs model is due to an inconsistency in the model and that an attempt to remove this inconsistency removes the model's explanatory power.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets JEL Code(s): D, D8, D84, G, G1, G12