Posts

• A Discussion of the Reliability of Results Obtained with Long-Run Identifying Restrictions

  Staff Working Paper 1998-4 Pierre St-Amant, David Tessier

  In a recent article, Faust and Leeper (1997) discuss reasons why inference from structural VARs identified with long-run restrictions may not be reliable. In this paper, the authors argue that there are reasons to believe that Faust and Leeper's arguments are not devastating in practice. First, simulation exercises suggest that this approach does well when […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods JEL Code(s): C, C3

• Tendance des dépenses publiques et de l'inflation et évolution comparative du taux de chômage au Canada et aux États-Unis

  Staff Working Paper 1998-3 Pierre St-Amant, David Tessier

  The authors' purpose in this paper is to isolate the respective contributions of budgetary and monetary policy in Canada and the United States to the behaviour of unemployment rates in the two countries. Their method consists of estimating VAR models and using long-term identification restrictions to perform a structural analysis. Budgetary policy shocks are defined […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Fiscal policy JEL Code(s): E, E6

• The Financial Services Sector: Past Changes and Future Prospects

  Technical Report No. 82 Charles Freedman, Clyde Goodlet

  The financial services industry has been undergoing significant change in recent years. This paper analyzes some key developments affecting the industry and examines some important issues facing the industry and its regulators.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Financial services JEL Code(s): G, G2

• The Canadian Banking System

  Technical Report No. 81 Charles Freedman

  This paper examines the major changes in the Canadian banking system since the Second World War, with special attention paid to the differences between Canadian and U.S. developments over this period.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Financial institutions JEL Code(s): G, G2
• February 24, 1998

  Inflation-Control Targets Extended

  Media Relations

  The Bank of Canada today released a joint statement of the Government of Canada and the Bank of Canada on the extension of the inflation-control targets.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases

• International Borrowing, Specialization and Unemployment in a Small, Open Economy

  Staff Working Paper 1998-2 Patrick Osakwe, Shouyong Shi

  Empirical evidence suggests that the unemployment rate and the export/GNP ratio are positively correlated with external debt across developing countries. This paper develops a dynamic model that provides an explanation for the aforementioned relationships. The central idea of our paper is that international borrowing affects unemployment and specialization patterns by unevenly changing the risk-sharing structure—across […]

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, J, J6
• February 5, 1998

  International developments and the prospects for the Canadian economy

  Remarks Gordon Thiessen Saint John, New Brunswick

  A year ago, in early 1997, prospects for global economic growth were very promising. World economic activity had strengthened and was expected to accelerate further, with the benefit of low inflation, reduced fiscal imbalances, and stable or declining interest rates. In Canada too, output and employment growth had picked up.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
• January 30, 1998

  Bank Rate Raised to 5 Per Cent

  Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario

  The Bank of Canada today raised its Bank Rate by ½ of one percentage point to 5 per cent.

  Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
• January 29, 1998

  Annual Report 1997

  

  With inflation remaining low for the sixth consecutive year, the Canadian economy recorded a strong expansion of about 4 per cent through 1997.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Annual Report
• January 14, 1998

  Bank of Canada Review - Winter 1997-1998

  

  Cover page

  Mafeking siege note

  This ten-shilling note measures 6 1/4 by 5 3/4 inches and forms part of the National Currency Collection, Bank of Canada.

  Photography by James Zagon.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review